Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 8.457545 9.453308 10.527874 11.775069 13.184575 14.730161 16.556110
2025-04-20 6.854899 8.159256 9.665458 11.538658 13.813274 16.495128 19.910494
2025-04-27 5.748161 7.235416 9.059977 11.475317 14.607117 18.555390 23.949154
2025-05-04 4.849102 6.422532 8.462711 11.323936 15.268114 20.564571 28.300955
2025-05-11 4.046089 5.611957 7.747278 10.905008 15.512110 22.075228 32.288467
2025-05-18 3.435161 4.971609 7.166891 10.578107 15.828295 23.739271 36.821609
2025-05-25 2.957837 4.452521 6.682689 10.312529 16.188136 25.526995 41.899605
2025-06-01 2.590083 4.044622 6.304729 10.147730 16.673754 27.590700 47.842442
2025-06-08 2.298402 3.714460 6.000188 10.050845 17.250720 29.900757 54.687443
2025-06-15 2.114811 3.533740 5.910818 10.298035 18.456281 33.508664 64.671266
2025-06-22 1.897166 3.266466 5.638476 10.180582 18.982050 35.967704 72.973339
2025-06-29 1.682503 2.976852 5.288523 9.867206 19.083345 37.627540 80.006018
2025-07-06 1.507709 2.741537 5.013900 9.671386 19.416261 39.881676 89.017731
2025-07-13 1.404249 2.625725 4.947298 9.876395 20.611886 44.187189 103.807828
2025-07-20 1.317326 2.530580 4.908004 10.132217 21.967347 49.129052 121.466780
2025-07-27 1.224049 2.411247 4.804899 10.237365 23.010570 53.580159 139.133710
2025-08-03 1.113051 2.242520 4.578849 10.038046 23.314744 56.329135 153.039827
2025-08-10 1.017748 2.095280 4.379758 9.870294 23.668177 59.285612 168.414493
2025-08-17 0.934664 1.964498 4.200164 9.721540 24.045365 62.394185 185.194793
2025-08-24 0.865484 1.856186 4.057230 9.640151 24.585088 66.070357 204.901407
2025-08-31 0.806436 1.763826 3.939358 9.603654 25.241392 70.230176 227.542373
2025-09-07 0.772920 1.725968 3.944014 9.881912 26.824966 77.480855 263.240824
2025-09-14 0.720809 1.638751 3.819814 9.801850 27.370675 81.704999 289.531921